Nacka Iliria 1-2 Syrianska FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Syrianska FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.18/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/2.25
-40% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Syrianska FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2023 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria 4-2 HT 1-1 Syrianska FC Syrianska FC İSÇ4
07.05.2023 Syrianska FC Syrianska FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacka Iliria
1-2
AWAY Syrianska FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Syrianska FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Syrianska FC squeezed past Nacka Iliria 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nacka Iliria had 50% of the ball to Syrianska FC's 50%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacka Iliria and 1.50 for Syrianska FC.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Syrianska FC?

Nacka Iliria 1-2 Syrianska FC in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Syrianska FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 50%, draw 22%, Syrianska FC 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✗ Under 2.5
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