Balkan 1-2 Simrishamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balkan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balkan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Simrishamn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-0 HT 1-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
13.05.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 4-1 HT 2-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Balkan vs Simrishamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simrishamn nicked a narrow win over Balkan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Balkan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Balkan and 2.00 for Simrishamn.

What was the final score of Balkan vs Simrishamn?

Balkan 1-2 Simrishamn in the Sweden - Cup on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balkan vs Simrishamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balkan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Balkan 42%, draw 24%, Simrishamn 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Balkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balkan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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