Union La Calera 1-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Stats & Model Review (Chile - Premier League, 14 May 2024)

Union La Calera

1-3 HT 1-1

Universidad Chile

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗

Chile - Premier League – 2024

Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

31%

3.75

Draw

26%

3.35

Away

43%

1.83

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52%

1.95

Over 2.5

48%

1.78

Both Teams to Score

Yes

51%

1.7

49%

2.03

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

29%

2-3 Goals

39%

4-5 Goals

21%

6+ Goals

11%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

12%

1/2

1/X

X/1

11%

X/2

14%

X/X

10%

2/1

2/2

21%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

31%

Home Win

23%

+7.9pp

26%

Draw

26%

-0.6pp

43%

Away Win

50%

-7.3pp

52%

Under 2.5

48%

+4.8pp

48%

Over 2.5

52%

-4.8pp

51%

BTTS Yes

55%

-3.8pp

49%

BTTS No

45%

+3.8pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union La Calera v Universidad Chile — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 27%

Head to Head

AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 55%

+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%

1.19/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.30

+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -40%

47% Ball Possession 53%

12 Total Shots 13

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 6

268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%

22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2

18.9 Crosses 18.2

2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Union La Calera

1W-1D-4L

AWAY Universidad Chile

1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50

1.43 xG 1.61

55% Ball Possession 45%

13 Total Shots 15

5 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 5

325 Passes 248

76% Pass Accuracy 72%

21 Box Touches 18

16 Crosses 19

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

26.08.2023 Union La Calera

2-1 HT 1-0

Universidad Chile ŞİL

03.03.2023 Universidad Chile

1-1 HT 1-0

Union La Calera ŞİL

03.07.2022 Universidad Chile

2-1 HT 0-0

Union La Calera ŞİL

07.02.2022 Union La Calera

2-4 HT 0-1

Universidad Chile ŞİL

06.12.2021 Universidad Chile

3-2 HT 0-0

Union La Calera ŞİL

22.08.2021 Union La Calera

1-4 HT 1-3

Universidad Chile ŞİL

Union La Calera 1-3 Universidad Chile — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Union La Calera

1-3

AWAY Universidad Chile

0.41 xG 1.88

47% Ball Possession 53%

8 Total Shots 23

5 Shots on Target 9

1 Corners 5

209 Passes 254

67% Pass Accuracy 73%

10 Box Touches 20

12 Crosses 27

4 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile got the better of Union La Calera 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 47% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 53%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.41 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union La Calera and 2.50 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

Union La Calera 1-3 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 31%, draw 26%, Universidad Chile 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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Union La Calera 1-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 May 2024

Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile Prediction — Model Probabilities

Union La Calera v Universidad Chile — Team-Based Signals

Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

Union La Calera 1-3 Universidad Chile — Actual Match Statistics

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?