14/05/2024
·
03:10
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
34%
Draw
31%
34%
Away Win
39%
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
55%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensores De Belgrano v Colon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Defensores De Belgrano
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Colon
EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
0.92/0.84
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.22/1.00
-9%
/
+8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+20%
/
-5%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
309 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Defensores De Belgrano squeezed past Colon 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon?
Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 32%, draw 34%, Colon 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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14 May 2024