Baniyas SC 3-3 Al Bataeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.79
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+11.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.3pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.39
-33% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +112%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.9 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baniyas SC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Bataeh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.18 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
314 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-1 HT 2-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
11.02.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 3-3 HT 2-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
16.09.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baniyas SC
3-3
AWAY Al Bataeh
2.46 xG 2.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
410 Passes 364
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baniyas SC vs Al Bataeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC and Al Bataeh shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Bataeh at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baniyas SC had 53% of the ball to Al Bataeh's 47%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.46 to 2.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Bataeh led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baniyas SC and 2.00 for Al Bataeh.

What was the final score of Baniyas SC vs Al Bataeh?

Baniyas SC 3-3 Al Bataeh in the UAE - League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baniyas SC vs Al Bataeh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Bataeh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baniyas SC 36%, draw 22%, Al Bataeh 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Bataeh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Bataeh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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