Al Najma 1-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.7
2-3 Goals
35%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
20%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.2pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
0.98/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.95
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Muharraq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
26.02.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
21.11.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
06.09.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
03.04.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 2-2 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
23.01.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma and Muharraq shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Muharraq carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Najma and 1.50 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Muharraq?

Al Najma 1-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 21%, draw 23%, Muharraq 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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