Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
3-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo squeezed past Fluminense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 49% of the ball to Fluminense's 51%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.77 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.33 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 47%, draw 29%, Fluminense 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.