Uni. Catolica 3-2 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 May 2024

Uni. Catolica
3-2 HT 1-1
Tecnico Universitario
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Tecnico Universitario — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.73/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.57
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
20.5 Crosses 12.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Uni. Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.18
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 201
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
26.02.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 4-1 HT 2-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
13.09.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
14.08.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
13.03.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1

Uni. Catolica 3-2 Tecnico Universitario — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-2
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.94 xG 1.28
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
493 Passes 239
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica edged past Tecnico Universitario 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 65% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 35%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.94 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.33 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

Uni. Catolica 3-2 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 55%, draw 24%, Tecnico Universitario 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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