Bali United 1-1 Persib Bandung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 14 May 2024

Bali United
1-1 HT 0-0
Persib Bandung
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Bali United vs Persib Bandung Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bali United v Persib Bandung — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.34/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.15
-3% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bali United vs Persib Bandung Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Persib Bandung
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 277
The Meetings
10.02.2023 Bali United Bali United 1-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
23.08.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-3 HT 0-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
13.01.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
18.09.2021 Bali United Bali United 2-2 HT 1-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
28.11.2019 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Persib Bandung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United and Persib Bandung couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bali United and 1.40 for Persib Bandung.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Persib Bandung?

Bali United 1-1 Persib Bandung in the Indonesia League 1 on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Persib Bandung?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bali United 35%, draw 31%, Persib Bandung 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bali United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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