Barnsley U21 2-0 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
44%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
56%
-22.1pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
44%
Away Win
27%
+16.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.6pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.02/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.03
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Burnley U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.04.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 0-4 HT 0-2 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Barnsley U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley U21 got the better of Burnley U21 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Barnsley U21 vs Burnley U21?

Barnsley U21 2-0 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barnsley U21 34%, draw 23%, Burnley U21 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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