El Geish 1-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.45
Over 2.5
28%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
5.98
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.13 — our 43% vs market 40.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
37%
Draw
34%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.1pp
72%
Under 2.5
65%
+6.4pp
28%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.02/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.02
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 69%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
18.2 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ismaily
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.03 xG 0.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 345
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 2-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
08.06.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
18.01.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
30.08.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
30.04.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
23.08.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-1
AWAY Ismaily
0.39 xG 0.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
209 Passes 393
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish and Ismaily couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, El Geish had 40% of the ball to Ismaily's 60%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.39 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Geish and 0.50 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Ismaily?

El Geish 1-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Geish 36%, draw 37%, Ismaily 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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