Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.94/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.99
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Posta Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
14.01.2022 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars and Posta Rangers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulinzi Stars had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 1.00 for Posta Rangers.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Posta Rangers?

Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 39%, draw 31%, Posta Rangers 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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