Racing Beirut 2-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-15.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Beirut
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.02.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-1 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh LUBN
POST-MATCH Racing Beirut vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Beirut edged past Shabab Al Ghazieh 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Beirut as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Racing Beirut vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Racing Beirut 2-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Beirut vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Beirut win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Racing Beirut 50%, draw 27%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Beirut) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Beirut) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
14 May 2025
16:00 Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj Analysis →