KA Akureyri 1-2 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.81
No
38%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-10.4pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.6pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+10.4pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.45/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.68
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +31%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
473 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AEgir
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
10.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZK
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEgir squeezed past KA Akureyri 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. KA Akureyri carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs AEgir?

KA Akureyri 1-2 AEgir in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 72%, draw 17%, AEgir 12%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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