Navad Urmia FC 1-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 14 May 2026

Navad Urmia FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
📅14/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Navad Urmia FC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
42%
2.7
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.26
Over 2.5
27%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
8.38
6+ Goals
5%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-9.3pp
42%
Draw
34%
+7.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
73%
Under 2.5
76%
-2.4pp
27%
Over 2.5
24%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.7pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Navad Urmia FC v Shenavarsazi Qeshm — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenavarsazi Qeshm EU Bookmakers 30%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.47/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.97
-56% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Navad Urmia FC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navad Urmia FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
06.10.2025 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1-1 HT 0-0 Navad Urmia FC Navad Urmia FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Navad Urmia FC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navad Urmia FC nicked a narrow win over Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Navad Urmia FC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?

Navad Urmia FC 1-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm in the Iran - Azadegan League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navad Urmia FC vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Navad Urmia FC 30%, draw 42%, Shenavarsazi Qeshm 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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