Sandefjord II 2-3 Drobak / Frogn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.25
No
29%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
70%
BTTS Yes
76%
-5.2pp
29%
BTTS No
24%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Drobak / Frogn EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
+39% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +71%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord II
2-3
AWAY Drobak / Frogn
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandefjord II vs Drobak / Frogn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drobak / Frogn nicked a narrow win over Sandefjord II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sandefjord II at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (70%) came in.

On the day, Sandefjord II had 56% of the ball to Drobak / Frogn's 44%, shots finished 21-12.

What was the final score of Sandefjord II vs Drobak / Frogn?

Sandefjord II 2-3 Drobak / Frogn in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord II vs Drobak / Frogn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord II 55%, draw 21%, Drobak / Frogn 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandefjord II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandefjord II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
14 May 2026
15:00 Nardo vs Byasen Analysis →
15:00 NTNUI vs Orkla Analysis →
15:00 Stabaek II vs Brodd Analysis →
15:00 Viking Stavanger II vs Akra Analysis →
15:00 Hinna vs Haugesund II Analysis →
15:00 Oppsal vs Rade Analysis →