Al Fateh 2-0 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.87
2-3 Goals
34%
1.91
4-5 Goals
33%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
58%
+3.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.54/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.33
-17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
25.0 Crosses 13.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 9
204 Passes 404
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16.01.2026 Najma 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-0
AWAY Najma
1.88 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh beat Najma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fateh as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fateh had 54% of the ball to Najma's 46%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.88 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Najma?

Al Fateh 2-0 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 62%, draw 19%, Najma 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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