Örgryte 1-1 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.49
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.71
X/2
11%
7.89
X/X
8%
5.8
2/1
9%
21.1
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.76/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.60
+8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
2W-0D-4L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
23.05.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-0 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
06.09.2021 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
22.05.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
31.10.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 4-1 HT 2-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
11.07.2020 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
1-1
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte and GIF Sundsvall shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Örgryte at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Örgryte had 52% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 48%, shots finished 22-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIF Sundsvall led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Örgryte and 1.50 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs GIF Sundsvall?

Örgryte 1-1 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 42%, draw 27%, GIF Sundsvall 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Örgryte), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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