Slonim 1-0 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slonim EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 56%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.54/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.42
-58% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slonim
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 Slonim Slonim BLR1
08.07.2023 Slonim Slonim 1-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
11.09.2021 Slonim Slonim 2-2 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
27.06.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 4-1 HT 2-0 Slonim Slonim BLR1
28.06.2020 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Slonim Slonim BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slonim
1-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Slonim vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slonim nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Gomel at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slonim had 52% of the ball to Lokomotiv Gomel's 48%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Gomel led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Slonim and 1.80 for Lokomotiv Gomel.

What was the final score of Slonim vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Slonim 1-0 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slonim vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Slonim 24%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Gomel 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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