Amazonas 0-1 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.87
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.0pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.0 Crosses 14.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
0-1
AWAY Chapecoense
1.69 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
407 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense nicked a narrow win over Amazonas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Amazonas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amazonas had 58% of the ball to Chapecoense's 42%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.69 to 0.66 — on chances, Amazonas could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Chapecoense?

Amazonas 0-1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 44%, draw 30%, Chapecoense 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amazonas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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