Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
54%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.0pp
54%
Away Win
41%
+13.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 45%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.52/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.67
-48% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 6
27.01.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-3 HT 0-3 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema squeezed past Kedus Giorgis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 44% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 56%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 23%, draw 23%, Kedus Giorgis 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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