UTS Rabat 3-3 Hassania Agadir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.82
Over 2.5
35%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 35% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
51%
+13.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
49%
-13.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTS Rabat EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.62/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.05
+18% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTS Rabat
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hassania Agadir
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 3-2 HT 1-1 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
03.04.2023 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-0 HT 0-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
16.10.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-2 HT 0-2 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
POST-MATCH UTS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTS Rabat and Hassania Agadir couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UTS Rabat at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, UTS Rabat had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UTS Rabat and 1.33 for Hassania Agadir.

What was the final score of UTS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir?

UTS Rabat 3-3 Hassania Agadir in the Morocco - League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UTS Rabat 43%, draw 32%, Hassania Agadir 25%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UTS Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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