Pharco vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pharco v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals
Pharco vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Pharco
MSR
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Ahly
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Pharco
MSR
1-4
HT 1-3
Al Ahly
MSR
Pharco 1-2 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly edged past Pharco 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pharco had 48% of the ball to Al Ahly's 52%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.48 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahly's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pharco and 2.25 for Al Ahly.
What was the final score of Pharco vs Al Ahly?
Pharco 1-2 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pharco vs Al Ahly?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pharco 22%, draw 28%, Al Ahly 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.