Jönköpings Södra 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 20%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +26%
1.16/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.98
-46% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
463 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 0-0 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
05.06.2024 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 1-2 HT 1-1 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1-0
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Oskarshamns AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jönköpings Södra nicked a narrow win over Oskarshamns AIK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jönköpings Södra as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 53% of the ball to Oskarshamns AIK's 47%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jönköpings Södra had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jönköpings Södra and 0.50 for Oskarshamns AIK.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Jönköpings Södra 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jönköpings Södra win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 59%, draw 23%, Oskarshamns AIK 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jönköpings Södra), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jönköpings Södra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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