Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
36%
2.61
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.75
No
73%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
54%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
36%
Draw
35%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
27%
BTTS Yes
32%
-5.4pp
73%
BTTS No
68%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.28/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.89
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Quilmes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.02.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro squeezed past Quilmes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 36% / 27% — and on the day Gimnasia Y Tiro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (73%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%, draw 36%, Quilmes 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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