St George Willawong 2-2 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.89
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
226 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George Willawong
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.05.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 St George Willawong St George Willawong AVSQ
POST-MATCH St George Willawong vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George Willawong and Gold Coast Knights shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gold Coast Knights at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of St George Willawong vs Gold Coast Knights?

St George Willawong 2-2 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George Willawong vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split St George Willawong 25%, draw 19%, Gold Coast Knights 56%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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