Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Pocheon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.47
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
64%
-19.7pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.9pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pocheon EU Bookmakers 18%
-17% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +25%
1.71/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.47
-4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Pocheon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
31.03.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 0-2 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
24.06.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-3 HT 1-3 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
11.03.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
13.08.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
16.04.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP edged past Pocheon 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 0.80 for Pocheon.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon?

Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 44%, draw 30%, Pocheon 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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