Start II 0-4 Sandefjord II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord II EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.01/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/3.57
-9% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Sandefjord II Sandefjord II 4-2 HT 2-0 Start II Start II NOR4
22.10.2023 Start II Start II 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandefjord II Sandefjord II NOR4
15.05.2023 Sandefjord II Sandefjord II 5-1 HT 1-1 Start II Start II NOR4
POST-MATCH Start II vs Sandefjord II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord II ran out comfortable winners over Start II 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Start II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sandefjord II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Start II and 3.67 for Sandefjord II.

What was the final score of Start II vs Sandefjord II?

Start II 0-4 Sandefjord II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start II vs Sandefjord II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Start II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Start II 43%, draw 26%, Sandefjord II 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Start II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Start II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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