Fransa U19 (K) 3-1 Sırbistan U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.96
Over Pick
73%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.96
No
40%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
34%
4-5
33%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
79%
-16.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+13.6pp
27%
Under 2.5
30%
-3.3pp
73%
Over 2.5
70%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+13.4pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U19 (K) The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan U19 (K) The Market 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
547 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U19 (K)
3-1
AWAY Sırbistan U19 (K)
1.77 xG 1.36
67% Ball Possession 33%
27 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
348 Passes 45
82% Pass Accuracy 55%
18 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fransa U19 (K) vs Sırbistan U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U19 (K) beat Sırbistan U19 (K) 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fransa U19 (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fransa U19 (K) had 67% of the ball to Sırbistan U19 (K)'s 33%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 1.77 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Fransa U19 (K) vs Sırbistan U19 (K)?

Fransa U19 (K) 3-1 Sırbistan U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U19 (K) vs Sırbistan U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fransa U19 (K) 62%, draw 16%, Sırbistan U19 (K) 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U19 (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U19 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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