Tiller 1-2 Kristiansund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.5pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund II EU Bookmakers 50%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.69/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.03/0.76
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +139%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kristiansund II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
03.09.2023 Kristiansund II Kristiansund II 2-1 HT 1-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
14.05.2023 Tiller Tiller 5-1 HT 1-0 Kristiansund II Kristiansund II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiller
1-2
AWAY Kristiansund II
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Kristiansund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund II squeezed past Tiller 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kristiansund II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tiller had 52% of the ball to Kristiansund II's 48%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Tiller and 1.50 for Kristiansund II.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Kristiansund II?

Tiller 1-2 Kristiansund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Kristiansund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kristiansund II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tiller 33%, draw 25%, Kristiansund II 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristiansund II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kristiansund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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