Kuopion 2-3 Vardar Skopje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 14 Jul 2026

📅14/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuopion EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vardar Skopje EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuopion
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vardar Skopje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.07.2026 Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 0-2 HT 0-1 Kuopion ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuopion
2-3
AWAY Vardar Skopje
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kuopion vs Vardar Skopje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vardar Skopje nicked a narrow win over Kuopion 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kuopion at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Kuopion vs Vardar Skopje?

Kuopion 2-3 Vardar Skopje in the Champions League on 14/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuopion vs Vardar Skopje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuopion win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kuopion 58%, draw 23%, Vardar Skopje 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kuopion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuopion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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