East Stirlingshire 2-2 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
67%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
3.94
Over Pick
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
38%
4-5
30%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.5pp
16%
Draw
15%
+0.9pp
67%
Away Win
76%
-8.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Stirlingshire The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride The Market 80%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.37/4.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/0.51
+67% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +68%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH East Stirlingshire vs East Kilbride
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Stirlingshire and East Kilbride couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had East Kilbride at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

What was the final score of East Stirlingshire vs East Kilbride?

East Stirlingshire 2-2 East Kilbride in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Stirlingshire vs East Kilbride?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split East Stirlingshire 17%, draw 16%, East Kilbride 67%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (East Kilbride) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCK More Scotland - Challenge Cup
14 Aug 2024
21:45 Clyde vs Rangers II Analysis →