Stockton Town 3-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockton Town
3-1
AWAY Guiseley
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town beat Guiseley 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 19% / 39% — and on the day Stockton Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Stockton Town had 35% of the ball to Guiseley's 65%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Guiseley?

Stockton Town 3-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 42%, draw 19%, Guiseley 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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