Fredrikstad 1-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Aug 2024

Fredrikstad
1-0 HT 0-0
Haugesund
📅14/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Fredrikstad vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
17%
3.88
X/2
8%
10.8
X/X
15%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
15%
8.21
2/X
8%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
59%
-15.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.19/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.55
+1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
– Crosses 17.1
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Fredrikstad vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
07.10.2012 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
16.10.2011 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 2-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
29.06.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR

Fredrikstad 1-0 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-0
AWAY Haugesund
2.44 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
401 Passes 399
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad edged past Haugesund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 51% of the ball to Haugesund's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.44 to 1.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fredrikstad's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Haugesund led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.00 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Haugesund?

Fredrikstad 1-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 43%, draw 28%, Haugesund 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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