Al Taawon 0-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Super Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
42%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.63
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
15%
+19.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
42%
Away Win
66%
-24.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 2.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
328 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
18.08.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
17.02.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
03.09.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.01.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.08.2021 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
0-2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.73 xG 3.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 403
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Taawon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Taawon had 45% of the ball to Al Nassr's 55%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.73 to 3.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Taawon and 1.67 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Nassr?

Al Taawon 0-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 35%, draw 23%, Al Nassr 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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