Cerro Porteno 0-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 14 Aug 2025

Cerro Porteno
0-1 HT 0-0
Estudiantes
📅14/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Cerro Porteno vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
6.33
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.23
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
16%
6.25
X/2
12%
4.88
X/X
14%
3.34
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.58
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro Porteno v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.95/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.81
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
14.9 Crosses 15.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cerro Porteno vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
06.05.2011 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
28.04.2011 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU

Cerro Porteno 0-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.75 xG 1.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Cerro Porteno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Estudiantes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 40% of the ball to Estudiantes's 60%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.00 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Estudiantes?

Cerro Porteno 0-1 Estudiantes in the Copa Libertadores on 14/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 34%, draw 29%, Estudiantes 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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