Mbeya City 0-1 Geita Gold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — TAN, 14 Aug 2026

Mbeya City
0-1 HT 0-1
Geita Gold
📅14/08/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
TAN – 2026

Mbeya City vs Geita Gold Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.56
Over
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mbeya City v Geita Gold — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbeya City The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Geita Gold The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mbeya City vs Geita Gold Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbeya City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Geita Gold
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
02.04.2022 Mbeya City Mbeya City 0-1 Geita Gold Geita Gold Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Mbeya City vs Geita Gold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Geita Gold edged past Mbeya City 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Geita Gold made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Mbeya City vs Geita Gold?

Mbeya City 0-1 Geita Gold in the TAN on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbeya City vs Geita Gold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbeya City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mbeya City 39%, draw 34%, Geita Gold 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mbeya City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mbeya City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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