Al Faysali 1-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faysali EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.65/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.84
+27% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faysali
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Al Faysali Al Faysali 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
29.10.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Faysali Al Faysali ÜRD
22.09.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-0 Al Faysali Al Faysali ÜRD
31.12.2020 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-3 HT 2-0 Al Faysali Al Faysali ÜRD
25.09.2020 Al Faysali Al Faysali 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
POST-MATCH Al Faysali vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faysali and Al Ahli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Faysali at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Faysali had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Al Faysali and 0.80 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Faysali vs Al Ahli?

Al Faysali 1-1 Al Ahli in the Jordan - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faysali vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faysali win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Faysali 60%, draw 23%, Al Ahli 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Faysali), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faysali) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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