Tenerife (K) 4-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.14
+21% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.0 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.14 xG 1.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
225 Passes 250
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) 5-0 HT 4-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
4-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.49 xG 2.54
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
135 Passes 290
57% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sevilla (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Tenerife (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 37% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 63%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.49 to 2.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sevilla (K).

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Tenerife (K) 4-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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