Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 0-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
67%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
1.0
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+9.8pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.4pp
67%
Away Win
85%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -50%
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
167 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 510 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.9
Crosses 27.2
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
0-1
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
0.15 xG 3.00
26% Ball Possession 74%
3 Total Shots 34
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 14
137 Passes 549
59% Pass Accuracy 87%
2 Box Touches 50
4 Crosses 56
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) squeezed past Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) had 26% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 74%, shots finished 3-34, expected goals 0.15 to 3.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wolfsburg (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 0-1 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 15%, draw 18%, Wolfsburg (K) 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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