Ishoj 2-2 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

Ishoj
2-2 HT 0-2
Naestved
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Ishoj vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ishoj v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ishoj EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 54%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.19
-23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Ishoj 2-2 Naestved — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ishoj
2-2
AWAY Naestved
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ishoj vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ishoj and Naestved couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ishoj had 36% of the ball to Naestved's 64%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Ishoj vs Naestved?

Ishoj 2-2 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ishoj vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ishoj 28%, draw 29%, Naestved 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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