Persita Tangerang 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.48/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.58
+15% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +103%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persita Tangerang
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
48% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
12.08.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
18.01.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-5 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
01.08.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
06.03.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
24.11.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya nicked a narrow win over Persita Tangerang 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Persita Tangerang and 2.60 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persita Tangerang 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Persita Tangerang 29%, draw 29%, Persebaya Surabaya 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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