Paris FC 1-2 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
11%
6.35
X/X
13%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.89
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.11
+13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.1 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Metz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.51 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
345 Passes 440
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2023 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
12.11.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Metz Metz FR2
22.02.2019 Metz Metz 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
22.09.2018 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Metz Metz FR2
18.03.2016 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
30.10.2015 Metz Metz 2-1 HT 2-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
1-2
AWAY Metz
1.22 xG 1.47
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
567 Passes 275
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz nicked a narrow win over Paris FC 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Metz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 65% of the ball to Metz's 35%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.22 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paris FC and 2.00 for Metz.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Metz?

Paris FC 1-2 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 39%, draw 29%, Metz 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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