Marumo Gallants 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Marumo Gallants
1-2 HT 1-1
Kaizer Chiefs
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marumo Gallants v Kaizer Chiefs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
0.74/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.94
-41% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.0 Crosses 21.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
329 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
11.09.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
03.05.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
26.09.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
04.05.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
19.01.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 3-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL

Marumo Gallants 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-2
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.79 xG 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
300 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs nicked a narrow win over Marumo Gallants 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kaizer Chiefs as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 59% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 41%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.79 to 2.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kaizer Chiefs's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Marumo Gallants and 1.17 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Marumo Gallants 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 30%, draw 29%, Kaizer Chiefs 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
14 Sep 2024
16:00 Royal AM vs Cape Town City Analysis →
21:00 Polokwane City vs AmaZulu Analysis →