Melita 2-3 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
37%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
49%
-12.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
2-3
AWAY Gzira United
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melita vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Melita 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Gzira United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Melita had 39% of the ball to Gzira United's 61%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Melita vs Gzira United?

Melita 2-3 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Melita 35%, draw 28%, Gzira United 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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