Stord Sunnhordland 3-3 Ardal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.31
No
33%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
75%
-11.6pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.4pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.2pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stord Sunnhordland EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Ardal EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.04/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.34
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
513 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stord Sunnhordland
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ardal
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.10.2021 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland 5-2 HT 3-0 Ardal Ardal NOR4
POST-MATCH Stord Sunnhordland vs Ardal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stord Sunnhordland and Ardal couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Stord Sunnhordland carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Stord Sunnhordland vs Ardal?

Stord Sunnhordland 3-3 Ardal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stord Sunnhordland vs Ardal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stord Sunnhordland win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Stord Sunnhordland 63%, draw 17%, Ardal 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stord Sunnhordland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stord Sunnhordland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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