Molde 6-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Sep 2024

Molde
6-1 HT 3-1
Fredrikstad
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
18%
3.78
X/2
8%
10.7
X/X
13%
5.36
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
8%
8.47
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.16/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.44
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.5 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Molde vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 0.87
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
467 Passes 171
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 32
26 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.07.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
18.11.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
16.05.2012 Molde Molde 2-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
17.09.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
14.08.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOK
19.05.2011 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Molde 6-1 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
6-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.83 xG 1.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
454 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde cruised past Fredrikstad 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Molde had 63% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 37%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.83 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Molde and 0.50 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Molde 6-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Molde 54%, draw 23%, Fredrikstad 23%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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