Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 KFC Komarno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 14 Sep 2024

Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-3 HT 1-1
KFC Komarno
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2024/2025

Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KFC Komarno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dukla Banska Bystrica v KFC Komarno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KFC Komarno EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.1 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KFC Komarno Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2W-2D-1L
AWAY KFC Komarno
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.03.2022 KFC Komarno KFC Komarno 2-1 HT 0-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
04.09.2021 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-0 HT 1-0 KFC Komarno KFC Komarno SLVK2
15.05.2021 KFC Komarno KFC Komarno 1-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
06.04.2021 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-0 HT 0-0 KFC Komarno KFC Komarno SLOVK
02.12.2020 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 5-1 HT 5-0 KFC Komarno KFC Komarno SLVK2

Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 KFC Komarno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-3
AWAY KFC Komarno
1.71 xG 2.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
329 Passes 235
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KFC Komarno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFC Komarno nicked a narrow win over Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dukla Banska Bystrica at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 57% of the ball to KFC Komarno's 43%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.71 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 0.80 for KFC Komarno.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KFC Komarno?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 KFC Komarno in the Slovakia Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KFC Komarno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 49%, draw 23%, KFC Komarno 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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