Mura 4-0 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Mura
4-0 HT 2-0
ND Primorje
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Mura vs ND Primorje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mura v ND Primorje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Mura 4-0 ND Primorje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
4-0
AWAY ND Primorje
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura swept aside ND Primorje 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mura had 42% of the ball to ND Primorje's 58%, shots finished 9-17.

What was the final score of Mura vs ND Primorje?

Mura 4-0 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mura 44%, draw 24%, ND Primorje 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
14 Sep 2024
21:15 Radomlje vs Olimpija Ljubljana Analysis →