Lugazi Municipal 0-3 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Lugazi Municipal
0-3 HT 0-2
Kitara
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugazi Municipal v Kitara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Lugazi Municipal 0-3 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0-3
AWAY Kitara
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara cruised past Lugazi Municipal 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Kitara made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 48% of the ball to Kitara's 52%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara?

Lugazi Municipal 0-3 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 33%, draw 30%, Kitara 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →